Somewhere, I Once Came Across…

I once came across a passage like this.
It struck a chord with me because it perfectly articulated the thoughts I wanted to express.
Though I feel slightly guilty, I copied it immediately and made it my own.

This is a paragraph I want to memorize when I have the time.

The situation in Korea is no different. No one in the world can pinpoint exactly when Korea will collapse. This is because a prophet like Cassandra exists only in myths. However, like stage 4 cancer, everyone can see that Korea is heading toward ruin and that the probability of its collapse in the near future is extremely high. This is because no country with such a low birth rate has ever survived in history.

Ultimately, it is reasonable to predict that Korea will not collapse only if the direction the country is heading in fundamentally changes. Simply arguing that “the claim is wrong because we don’t know when Korea will collapse” is an unfair demand for proof. For instance, we know that someone who drinks three bottles of soju every day will likely develop liver disease in the near future, even if we cannot predict the exact timing. This does not make the claim about liver disease invalid.

On the other hand, if the person were to completely quit drinking, start exercising regularly, and pay close attention to their health, then the claim that they will develop liver disease could turn out to be wrong. Similarly, if Korea fundamentally changes its direction, one could argue that it will prosper in the future. However, saying, “You can’t predict when it will collapse, so your claim is wrong,” is not a proper debate tactic. Such arguments are nothing more than poorly veiled attempts to attack the other party personally. I am tired of responding to these low-level remarks that merely serve as a setup for personal attacks.